Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.000049 0.000051 0.000054 0.000056 0.000059 0.000062 0.000066
2025-04-27 0.000044 0.000048 0.000051 0.000055 0.000060 0.000065 0.000071
2025-05-04 0.000042 0.000046 0.000051 0.000056 0.000062 0.000069 0.000078
2025-05-11 0.000040 0.000045 0.000050 0.000056 0.000064 0.000073 0.000083
2025-05-18 0.000040 0.000045 0.000051 0.000059 0.000068 0.000078 0.000092
2025-05-25 0.000038 0.000043 0.000049 0.000057 0.000067 0.000079 0.000094
2025-06-01 0.000036 0.000041 0.000047 0.000055 0.000065 0.000078 0.000095
2025-06-08 0.000035 0.000040 0.000047 0.000055 0.000066 0.000080 0.000099
2025-06-15 0.000034 0.000040 0.000047 0.000056 0.000068 0.000083 0.000105
2025-06-22 0.000032 0.000038 0.000045 0.000055 0.000067 0.000083 0.000106
2025-06-29 0.000031 0.000036 0.000043 0.000053 0.000065 0.000081 0.000105
2025-07-06 0.000029 0.000035 0.000042 0.000051 0.000063 0.000080 0.000104
2025-07-13 0.000028 0.000033 0.000040 0.000049 0.000061 0.000078 0.000104
2025-07-20 0.000027 0.000032 0.000039 0.000048 0.000061 0.000078 0.000106
2025-07-27 0.000026 0.000032 0.000039 0.000049 0.000062 0.000082 0.000113
2025-08-03 0.000026 0.000031 0.000039 0.000049 0.000064 0.000085 0.000119
2025-08-10 0.000026 0.000032 0.000040 0.000051 0.000067 0.000091 0.000131
2025-08-17 0.000025 0.000031 0.000038 0.000050 0.000066 0.000090 0.000131
2025-08-24 0.000024 0.000029 0.000037 0.000048 0.000064 0.000088 0.000131
2025-08-31 0.000023 0.000029 0.000037 0.000048 0.000065 0.000091 0.000136
2025-09-07 0.000023 0.000029 0.000037 0.000049 0.000066 0.000094 0.000144
2025-09-14 0.000022 0.000028 0.000036 0.000047 0.000065 0.000093 0.000144
2025-09-21 0.000021 0.000027 0.000035 0.000046 0.000063 0.000091 0.000143